Marqeta IncMQ
Price$17.00Intrinsic value$24.1742% above price

Outlook & Key Dates

Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events

Analyst Estimates Learn more →
Analyst Coverage
10analysts covering
Consensus: NeutralAs of 18 Aug 2026
FY Revenue (est.)
$704Mnext fiscal year
As of 18 Aug 2026
FY EPS (est.)
$0.27next fiscal year
As of 18 Aug 2026
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
Total Processing Volume (TPV) Quarterly112BTarget: Continued expansion exceeding 30% year-over-year
Net Revenue Quarterly166MTarget: 12% to 14% growth for full-year 2026
Gross Profit Quarterly118MTarget: 10% to 12% growth for full-year 2026
Adjusted EBITDA Quarterly33MTarget: Mid-to-high 20s percentage growth for full-year 2026
Watch Items
  • Block, Inc. (Cash App) Contract Concentration and Pricing TiersTrigger: Block reaching a more meaningful pricing tier creating a ~300 bps headwind (~$13 million) or Cash App card issuance transitionsAction: Monitor TPV mix, contract renewal terms (current contract expires June 30, 2028), and diversification of gross profit away from Block
  • Card Network Incentives Accounting Policy ImpactTrigger: Revised accounting policy for estimating and recognizing card network incentives (effective Q2 2025)Action: Evaluate ongoing headwind on gross profit growth (noted as a 1.5 percentage point headwind in Q1 2026)
  • Proposed 1-for-4 Reverse Stock SplitTrigger: Stockholder approval at the 2026 Annual Meeting of StockholdersAction: Track Board implementation timeline (within one year of approval) and subsequent impact on marketability and per-share metrics
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Research as of 20 Jun 2026

AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.