Logistic Properties of the Americas Dossier
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SectorReal Estate IndustryReal Estate Management & Development Beta (adjusted)3.90 Intrinsic Value No headline value published yetWe haven't published a headline intrinsic value for this company yet. Our data-reliability standards weren't met. Method estimates are shown for reference. Market Price $2.91Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $92.2M Enterprise Value $360.3M Shares Outstanding 31.6M diluted Next Earnings Date11 Nov 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Logistic Properties of the Americas (LPA) is a leading developer, owner, and manager of institutional-quality industrial and logistics real estate in high-growth, high-barrier-to-entry markets in Latin America (Costa Rica, Colombia, Peru, and Mexico). The company is uniquely positioned to benefit from structural tailwinds including e-commerce growth and nearshoring trends. With a vertically integrated model, 100% occupancy across its operating portfolio, and a high proportion of US$-denominated leases (79.1%), LPA offers a highly resilient cash-flow profile. Recent strategic moves, such as the $145 million divestment of Parque Logístico Lima Sur to FIBRA Prime, catalyze its expansion into the high-growth Mexican market, unlocking significant long-term value. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$7.00 Mean target$7.25 High · most bullish analyst$7.50 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 19 Jun 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $2.5020% Macroeconomic slowdown in Latin America or trade policy uncertainties in Mexico dampen demand for logistics space. High leverage and elevated interest rates increase refinancing costs, compressing net margins and delaying development pipelines. Base CaseCentral scenario $4.5050% LPA continues its steady expansion in Mexico while maintaining stable cash flows from its anchor market in Costa Rica and growing operations in Colombia and Peru. Contractual rent escalators and positive leasing spreads support high-single-digit organic revenue growth, while leverage is gradually managed down through strategic alliances. Bull CaseUpside scenario $7.5030% Accelerated nearshoring in Mexico and rapid stabilization of new developments in Peru and Colombia drive rental rates higher. The company successfully deploys capital from Peruvian asset sales into high-yield Mexican logistics parks, expanding GLA beyond expectations while maintaining 100% occupancy and increasing USD-denominated lease exposure. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
Thesis Invalidation Triggers
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |