Littelfuse Inc Dossier
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SectorInformation Technology IndustryElectronic Components Beta (adjusted)1.33 Intrinsic Value $274.76median of 3 methodsbased on filings through 28 Mar 2026 Market Price $435.55Price as of 1 Oct 2026 OvervaluedIntrinsic value is 37% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $11.1B Enterprise Value $11.2B Shares Outstanding 25.3M diluted Moat Rating None Next Earnings Date28 Oct 2026 Last ex-dividend20 Aug 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Littelfuse entered the second half of 2026 with strong operating momentum: Q2 sales increased 20%, organic growth was 14%, adjusted EBITDA margin reached 23.6%, and free cash flow increased 75%. Management also guided Q3 sales to $780-$800 million and adjusted EPS to $4.85-$5.05, supported by record bookings and Basler. The constructive operating outlook is balanced by Transportation weakness, acquisition-integration exposure and the prior semiconductor goodwill impairment. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$415.00 Mean target$488.75 High · most bullish analyst$520.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $415.0020% Q3 sales fall below the lower end of guidance as bookings convert more slowly, Transportation softness broadens, or Basler integration underperforms. Margin leverage reverses, semiconductor profitability weakens after the 2025 impairment, and cash generation or deleveraging slows. Base CaseCentral scenario $488.7555% Matches the consensus meanQ3 sales and adjusted EPS remain within management's guidance ranges. Electronics and Industrial growth offset mixed Transportation conditions, while cash generation supports continued deleveraging. Bull CaseUpside scenario $520.0025% Demand remains broad-based and Q3 results meet or exceed the upper ends of guidance. Electronics sustains strong passive-product and semiconductor growth, Industrial continues to benefit from data-center, HVAC, automation and construction demand, Basler performs above initial expectations, and consolidated margins remain near Q2 levels. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |