Lifetime Brands Inc Dossier
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SectorConsumer Discretionary IndustryHousehold Durables Beta (adjusted)0.97 Intrinsic Value $7.38median of 5 methods · middle span $7-$11based on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $8.65Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Near fair valueIntrinsic value is 15% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $198.9M Enterprise Value $328.4M Shares Outstanding 22.4M diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date5 Nov 2026 Next ex-dividend30 Oct 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Lifetime Brands is executing a successful operational turnaround, highlighted by a strong Q1 2026 earnings beat and positive full-year guidance. The company is benefiting from robust growth in its Home Solutions segment (particularly the Dolly Parton brand and home decor), strategic cost-restructuring initiatives (Project Concord), and the relocation of its East Coast distribution center. Despite macro headwinds like elevated freight costs and tariff exposures, disciplined pricing actions and debt reduction support a positive outlook for margin expansion and sales growth. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$7.00 Mean target$10.67 High · most bullish analyst$13.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 19 Jun 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $5.0020% Escalating geopolitical tensions lead to severe spikes in ocean freight rates and supply chain disruptions, while weak consumer spending dampens demand in core US retail channels, causing net sales to fall below the guided range. Base CaseCentral scenario $8.0050% Lifetime Brands successfully delivers on its FY 2026 guidance of $650M–$700M in net sales and $0.73–$0.80 in adjusted diluted EPS, supported by steady performance in core kitchen tools and tableware, and stable freight costs. Bull CaseUpside scenario $10.0030% Accelerated growth in adjacent categories (pet, outdoor, storage) and commercial food service, combined with faster-than-expected margin expansion from Project Concord and the new Hagerstown distribution center, driving adjusted EPS above the high end of guidance. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
Thesis Invalidation Triggers
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |