LGL Group Inc Dossier
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SectorInformation Technology IndustryElectronic Equipment, Instruments & Components Beta (adjusted)0.32 Intrinsic Value $5.66median of 3 methodsbased on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $7.04Price as of 1 Oct 2026 OvervaluedIntrinsic value is 20% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $88.8M Enterprise Value $43.7M Shares Outstanding 12.6M diluted Last ex-dividend3 Jan 1989 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary The LGL Group, Inc. operates as a micro-cap holding company with a dual-focus strategy: its Electronic Instruments segment (through Precise Time and Frequency, LLC) and its Merchant Investment segment. While the company maintains a robust balance sheet with cash and marketable securities exceeding its market capitalization, its core operating business remains small and highly concentrated. The recent strategic investment in Skyline Instruments Corporation and the extension of its subscription rights offering to June 29, 2026, highlight management's active capital deployment strategy. However, operating profitability remains thin, warranting a Hold recommendation until operating scale improves. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$10.00 Mean target$10.00 High · most bullish analyst$10.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 20 Jun 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario Operating expenses at PTF outpace revenue growth, leading to persistent net losses. Yields on Treasury money market funds decline, reducing investment income, while the rights offering results in shareholder dilution without corresponding operational growth. Base CaseCentral scenario The company successfully completes its subscription rights offering at $6.90 per share, bolstering its cash reserves. PTF leverages its growing backlog to drive steady revenue growth in precision timing instruments, while the Merchant Investment segment generates stable returns from its Treasury money market funds and strategic holdings. Bull CaseUpside scenario LGL Group trades at a negative enterprise value, meaning the market values its underlying operating business at less than zero despite profitable operations. The company holds over $41 million in cash and marketable securities (representing over 100% of its market capitalization) with minimal liabilities, providing a massive margin of safety. Any successful deployment of this capital into defense technology, precision timing, or strategic acquisitions represents immediate upside. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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Thesis Invalidation Triggers
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |