Lemaitre Vascular Inc Dossier
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SectorHealth Care IndustryMedical Instruments & Supplies Beta (adjusted)0.69 Intrinsic Value $107.50median of 6 methods · middle span $61-$125based on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $80.19Price as of 1 Oct 2026 UndervaluedIntrinsic value is 34% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $1.8B Enterprise Value $2B Shares Outstanding 24.5M diluted Moat Rating Narrow Next Earnings Date5 Nov 2026 Last ex-dividend20 Aug 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary LeMaitre Vascular (LMAT) is a highly profitable, debt-free specialty medical device firm that has successfully transitioned from a legacy open vascular tools provider into a high-margin, biologics-driven compounder. The company's core strength lies in its 'Big Fish in a Small Pond' strategy, dominating niche open vascular surgery markets (such as biologic patches and valvulotomes) where larger medtech conglomerates choose not to compete. Growth is driven by strong pricing power, geographic expansion (including direct sales force additions and entry into new markets like Poland), and the international acceleration of its Artegraft product line. With gross margins expanding past 72% and a robust net cash position of over $170 million, LeMaitre is well-positioned to sustain double-digit organic growth and execute accretive tuck-in acquisitions. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$81.00 Mean target$107.00 High · most bullish analyst$132.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 18 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $81.00 The bear case reflects execution risks associated with the Chicago-to-Burlington manufacturing transfer, leading to temporary supply disruptions and margin compression. Furthermore, a decline in sales representative headcount or slower-than-expected volume growth in the distribution business could drag organic growth down to the mid-single digits. Slower regulatory clearances under EU MDR could also hamper international expansion. Base CaseCentral scenario $107.00 Matches the consensus meanThe base case assumes LeMaitre successfully delivers on its raised FY 2026 guidance, achieving ~12% organic sales growth and adjusted EPS of approximately $3.00. Operating margins expand to ~29% as gross margins remain stable above 70%, supported by manufacturing efficiencies and direct sales growth of 12-13%. The Chicago-to-Burlington manufacturing transfer is completed with minimal disruption. Bull CaseUpside scenario $132.00 The bull case is anchored on faster-than-expected international adoption of Artegraft, with OUS revenues exceeding the $10 million target for 2026. Additionally, continued pricing power (such as the successful implementation of high-single-digit price hikes without volume friction) and disciplined operating expense management drive operating margins above 30%. Accretive tuck-in acquisitions from its active pipeline of open vascular and cardiac surgery candidates further accelerate top-line compounding. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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Thesis Invalidation Triggers
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |