Laureate Education Inc Dossier
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SectorConsumer Staples IndustryEducation & Training Services Beta (adjusted)0.60 Intrinsic Value $47.81median of 6 methods · middle span $19-$107based on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $38.00Price as of 1 Oct 2026 UndervaluedIntrinsic value is 26% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $5.2B Enterprise Value $5.2B Shares Outstanding 140.5M diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date29 Oct 2026 Last ex-dividend14 Nov 2023 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Laureate Education, Inc. (NASDAQ: LAUR) presents a compelling investment opportunity as a leading operator of higher education institutions in Mexico and Peru. The company is successfully executing on its organic growth strategy, driven by robust enrollment demand, campus expansions, and digital/AI capabilities. Despite seasonal Q1 losses and academic calendar timing headwinds, Laureate's strong balance sheet, aggressive share buybacks, and upwardly revised full-year 2026 Adjusted EPS guidance ($2.00 - $2.08) underscore its operational resilience and commitment to shareholder returns. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$34.50 Mean target$41.21 High · most bullish analyst$45.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 18 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $34.50 Macroeconomic instability or regulatory changes in Mexico or Peru disrupt student enrollment. Significant depreciation of the Mexican Peso or Peruvian Sol against the USD severely impacts reported financial results, offsetting local currency growth. Base CaseCentral scenario $41.21 Matches the consensus meanLaureate achieves its 2026 outlook with total enrollments reaching 516,000 to 521,000 and revenues growing 11% to 12% on an as-reported basis ($1.89 billion to $1.905 billion). Margin expansion continues through operational efficiencies, and the company completes its remaining share repurchase authorizations. Bull CaseUpside scenario $45.00 Accelerated digital adoption and fully online programs for working adults scale faster than expected, driving higher operating margins. Favorable foreign exchange movements in Mexico and Peru provide tailwinds, pushing full-year revenues and Adjusted EBITDA to the high end of guidance. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |