JB Hunt Transport Services Inc Dossier
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SectorIndustrials IndustryCargo Ground Transportation Beta (adjusted)1.20 Intrinsic Value $225.57median of 6 methods · middle span $172-$374based on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $227.20Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Near fair valueIntrinsic value is 1% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $21.3B Enterprise Value $22.5B Shares Outstanding 93.5M diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date14 Oct 2026 Last ex-dividend7 Aug 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary J.B. Hunt entered the second half of 2026 with strong operating momentum: second-quarter revenue increased 19%, operating income increased 32%, and diluted EPS increased 45%. Intermodal delivered 10% volume growth and substantial operating leverage, while Dedicated Contract Services maintained approximately 96% customer retention. The quality of the recovery remains uneven, however, because Integrated Capacity Solutions generated only a 12.5% gross profit margin, Final Mile Services stops declined 14%, and Truckload reported an operating loss. With the shares at $261.03 on August 28, 2026, the risk-reward appears balanced unless Intermodal growth and productivity improvements persist. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$182.00 Mean target$305.45 High · most bullish analyst$370.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 18 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $182.0020% Freight demand weakens, Intermodal volume growth turns negative, and purchased-transportation inflation compresses ICS and Truckload profitability. Dedicated retention falls below 95% and Final Mile remains under pressure, reversing recent consolidated margin improvement. Under this downside outcome, the shares could decline toward $205. Base CaseCentral scenario $305.4556% Matches the consensus meanIntermodal and Dedicated remain the principal earnings engines, but growth moderates from the unusually strong second-quarter comparison. ICS stays marginally profitable, while Final Mile and Truckload constrain consolidated improvement. Bull CaseUpside scenario $370.0024% Intermodal conversion accelerates while Eastern-network growth and network efficiency produce continued operating leverage. Dedicated retention remains near current levels, ICS preserves profitability despite volatile purchased-transportation costs, and Truckload returns to positive operating income. Under this execution-led outcome, the shares could support a $315 twelve-month value. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |