Jabil Inc Dossier
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SectorInformation Technology IndustryElectronic Components Beta (adjusted)1.21 Intrinsic Value $228.03median of 6 methods · middle span $113-$978based on filings through 31 May 2026 Market Price $299.79Price as of 1 Oct 2026 OvervaluedIntrinsic value is 24% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $31.4B Enterprise Value $33.4B Shares Outstanding 106.6M diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date17 Dec 2026 Last ex-dividend14 Aug 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Jabil entered the end of fiscal 2026 with strong operating momentum: third-quarter revenue, core operating income, core EPS, and adjusted free cash flow improved year over year, and management raised full-year guidance to $35 billion of revenue, a 5.8% core operating margin, $12.70 of core diluted EPS, and at least $1.4 billion of adjusted free cash flow. AI-infrastructure demand is the principal upside driver, while improving Automotive and Connected Living performance broadens the earnings base. The July 2026 authorization of up to $1.5 billion of additional share repurchases reinforces management's confidence in cash generation. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$365.00 Mean target$441.44 High · most bullish analyst$482.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $365.0016% AI-infrastructure orders moderate or program execution fails to keep pace with rapid demand, while customer concentration, component availability, geopolitical exposure, and working-capital requirements pressure results. Missing the raised revenue, margin, or free-cash-flow outlook would undermine the fiscal 2027 setup and reduce the capacity to combine growth investment with shareholder returns. Base CaseCentral scenario $441.4457% Matches the consensus meanJabil substantially delivers its raised fiscal 2026 outlook of $35 billion in revenue, a 5.8% core operating margin, $12.70 of core diluted EPS, and at least $1.4 billion of adjusted free cash flow. AI infrastructure remains the main growth engine, while portfolio diversification and improving previously pressured end markets support resilience. Bull CaseUpside scenario $482.0027% AI-infrastructure demand remains exceptionally strong into fiscal 2027, Jabil converts fourth-quarter revenue near the upper end of its $9.2-$10.0 billion outlook, and improving Automotive and Connected Living demand adds breadth. Sustained margin expansion, free-cash-flow generation, and execution of the new repurchase authorization would strengthen per-share value creation. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |