ITT Inc Dossier
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SectorIndustrials IndustrySpecialty Industrial Machinery Beta (adjusted)1.18 Intrinsic Value $156.38median of 6 methods · middle span $128-$185based on filings through 4 Jul 2026 Market Price $202.13Price as of 1 Oct 2026 OvervaluedIntrinsic value is 23% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $18.2B Enterprise Value $18.2B Shares Outstanding 87.9M diluted Moat Rating Narrow Next Earnings Date29 Oct 2026 Last ex-dividend8 Sep 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary ITT entered the second half of 2026 with strong operating momentum: second-quarter organic revenue grew 13%, adjusted operating margin reached 20.0%, and adjusted EPS increased to $2.08. The company also raised its full-year revenue, margin, EPS and cash outlook. SPX FLOW materially expands ITT's flow-technology platform and carries an announced $80 million cost-synergy opportunity, but the $4.775 billion transaction introduces substantial integration, financing and acquisition-accounting risk. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$175.00 Mean target$256.15 High · most bullish analyst$285.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $175.0020% Organic growth falls below the 5% lower bound of guidance, adjusted operating margin drops below 20%, or SPX FLOW integration costs and synergy delays outweigh the acquired growth. Persistent acquisition-related charges and weaker conversion of adjusted earnings into reported results would undermine the investment case. Base CaseCentral scenario $256.1555% Matches the consensus meanITT delivers within its raised 2026 guidance, with organic growth moderating from the second quarter's 13% rate while adjusted operating margin remains near 20%. SPX FLOW adds scale and supports adjusted earnings, although amortization and acquisition-related costs continue to create a material gap between reported and adjusted results. Bull CaseUpside scenario $285.0025% Organic growth remains above the upper end of guidance, adjusted margin expands beyond the 2026 range, and SPX FLOW integration advances at or ahead of the announced $80 million run-rate synergy objective. Continued aerospace and defense strength, Motion Technologies share gains and Flow Technologies momentum would support sustained earnings outperformance. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |