Interparfums Inc Dossier
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SectorConsumer Staples IndustryHousehold & Personal Products Beta (adjusted)1.09 Intrinsic Value $123.21median of 6 methods · middle span $98-$138based on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $111.85Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Near fair valueIntrinsic value is 10% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $3.6B Enterprise Value $3.4B Shares Outstanding 32M diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date9 Nov 2026 Last ex-dividend15 Sep 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Interparfums is a high-quality prestige fragrance operator utilizing an asset-light licensing model that yields robust gross margins and consistent cash flows. However, 2026 is characterized as a transitional consolidation year with flat sales guidance of $1.48 billion and a projected 5% decline in EPS to $4.85 due to macroeconomic headwinds, inventory destocking, and tariff pressures. While the long-term outlook remains highly attractive—supported by a powerful 2027 launch pipeline (including Off-White and Longchamp) and competitive takeaways like David Beckham (2028) and Nautica (2030)—near-term upside is limited, justifying a Hold rating at current valuation levels. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$120.00 Mean target$135.00 High · most bullish analyst$151.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 18 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East and economic weakness in Eastern Europe and Asia-Pacific intensify, causing deeper organic sales declines. Rising SG&A and promotional costs to support underperforming brands lead to greater-than-expected operating margin contraction, dragging EPS below the guided $4.85. Base CaseCentral scenario The company successfully navigates a flat 2026 by maintaining its market share and robust gross margins (around 65%), while investing heavily in advertising and promotion to lay the groundwork for a major growth acceleration in 2027. Valuation remains balanced around 19x forward EPS. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |