Interface Inc Dossier
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SectorConsumer Discretionary IndustryFurnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Beta (adjusted)1.61 Intrinsic Value $43.22median of 6 methods · middle span $18-$51based on filings through 5 Jul 2026 Market Price $34.45Price as of 1 Oct 2026 UndervaluedIntrinsic value is 25% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $2B Enterprise Value $2.1B Shares Outstanding 58.7M diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date30 Oct 2026 Last ex-dividend5 Jun 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Interface Inc. (TILE) presents a compelling investment opportunity as a global leader in sustainable commercial flooring. The company's 'One Interface' strategy is successfully driving market share gains, particularly in the resilient education and corporate office sectors. TILE is experiencing significant margin expansion driven by manufacturing efficiencies, automation, and a unified sales force. Backed by a robust balance sheet with rapidly declining debt, strong cash generation, and a powerful ESG moat (targeting carbon negativity by 2040 without offsets), the stock remains undervalued relative to its capital efficiency and operational execution. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$41.00 Mean target$45.25 High · most bullish analyst$50.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 18 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $41.00 A severe macroeconomic slowdown or prolonged high-interest-rate environment dampens commercial real estate construction and renovation activity. Increased competitive pricing pressure compresses gross margins back toward historical levels. Base CaseCentral scenario $45.25 Matches the consensus meanInterface successfully executes its FY 2026 guidance, achieving net sales of $1.45B to $1.48B and adjusted gross margins of 38.8% to 39.0%. Steady commercial replacement cycles and moderate growth in education and healthcare support a steady upward trajectory. Bull CaseUpside scenario $50.00 Accelerated adoption of carbon-negative corporate spaces and biophilic designs drives higher-than-expected sales growth. The One Interface strategy achieves deeper cross-selling synergies, pushing adjusted gross margins above 40% and driving rapid debt retirement. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |