Intellicheck Inc Dossier
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SectorInformation Technology IndustryApplication Software Beta (adjusted)0.89 Intrinsic Value $3.44median of 3 methodsbased on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $2.27Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Significantly undervaluedIntrinsic value is 51% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% marker beyond scale (+51%) Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $46.1M Enterprise Value $34.3M Shares Outstanding 21.7M diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date11 Nov 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Intellicheck, Inc. has reached a critical inflection point, achieving full-year operating profitability in 2025 and continuing its strong momentum with a highly profitable, margin-rich Q1 2026. The company's proprietary SaaS-based identity validation technology delivers sub-second, 99.975% accurate decisioning by uniquely analyzing DMV-issued barcode data, making it highly effective at preventing identity fraud. With a scalable software-heavy model boasting gross margins above 91%, zero debt, and a growing cash balance, Intellicheck is well-positioned to expand beyond its core retail banking footprint into high-growth verticals like automotive, healthcare, and social media. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$6.50 Mean target$7.50 High · most bullish analyst$8.50 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 19 Jun 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $4.0010% Severe macroeconomic headwinds in the retail sector (which represents a significant portion of scan volumes) lead to flat or declining transaction volumes. Slower-than-expected sales cycles in new verticals prevent the company from scaling, causing a return to net losses. Base CaseCentral scenario $7.5060% Matches the consensus meanSteady expansion in core financial services and retail banking, combined with moderate success in new verticals, yields 10-15% annual revenue growth. High gross margins are maintained, and the company remains consistently net income positive, driving steady multiple expansion. Bull CaseUpside scenario $8.5030% Rapid adoption of identity verification solutions in non-retail sectors (automotive, healthcare, and social media) drives SaaS revenue growth above 20% YoY. Operating leverage scales dramatically, pushing Adjusted EBITDA margins toward 25% and attracting institutional investors. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |