Ingram Micro Holding Corp Dossier
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SectorInformation Technology IndustryInformation Technology Services Beta (adjusted)1.48 Intrinsic Value $32.91median of 5 methods · middle span $24-$36based on filings through 27 Jun 2026 Market Price $27.79Price as of 1 Oct 2026 UndervaluedIntrinsic value is 18% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $6.4B Enterprise Value $9.4B Shares Outstanding 234M diluted Moat Rating Narrow Next Earnings Date10 Nov 2026 Last ex-dividend11 Aug 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Ingram Micro Holding Corp (INGM) is a leading global technology distributor well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing PC refresh cycle, AI hardware buildouts (GPUs and servers), and high-margin cloud services. However, near-term headwinds including gross margin compression from low-margin GPU infrastructure deals, memory supply constraints, and geopolitical volatility in the Middle East warrant a neutral stance. The stock is currently trading near its fair value, reflecting balanced risk-reward dynamics. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$30.00 Mean target$33.17 High · most bullish analyst$37.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 18 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $30.00 Severe memory supply constraints and rising component costs limit hardware shipments, while intense competition in IT distribution compresses margins and slows deleveraging. Base CaseCentral scenario $33.17 Matches the consensus meanSteady mid-single-digit revenue growth supported by cloud expansion and PC refresh cycles, with stable operating margins and consistent share repurchases. Bull CaseUpside scenario $37.00 Accelerated AI PC adoption and enterprise GPU infrastructure projects drive double-digit top-line growth, while proprietary Xvantage platform automation expands operating margins beyond expectations. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
Thesis Invalidation Triggers
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |