IES Holdings Inc Dossier
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SectorIndustrials IndustryEngineering & Construction Beta (adjusted)1.55 Intrinsic Value $551.17median of 6 methods · middle span $194-$644based on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $330.16Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Significantly undervaluedIntrinsic value is 67% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% marker beyond scale (+67%) Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $13.2B Enterprise Value $13.1B Shares Outstanding 39.8M diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date20 Nov 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary IES entered the final quarter of fiscal 2026 with strong data-center-led growth, $4.53 billion of backlog and $2.80 billion of remaining performance obligations. Communications, Infrastructure Solutions, and Commercial & Industrial produced substantial year-over-year expansion, while Residential remained pressured by reduced housing starts. Capacity added through Gulf Island and other facilities is expected by management to contribute meaningfully beginning in fiscal 2027, and the pending DBM Global transaction could broaden IES's structural-steel and industrial capabilities. These positives are balanced by residential weakness, the nonbinding component of backlog, project-execution and labor risks, and the closing and integration risks of DBM Global. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$850.00 Mean target$850.00 High · most bullish analyst$850.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $850.0018% Project delays or cancellations reduce backlog conversion, labor and fixed-price execution pressures weaken profitability, and residential demand deteriorates further. A delayed or difficult DBM Global closing and integration would add execution and capital-allocation risk while newly acquired facilities take longer than expected to contribute. Base CaseCentral scenario $850.0058% Matches the consensus meanBacklog conversion and data-center activity continue to offset housing-market softness, but growth moderates as unusually favorable quick-turn projects normalize and new facilities require ramp-up investment. DBM Global is assumed to close near the stated timetable, with integration costs and benefits emerging gradually. Bull CaseUpside scenario $850.0024% Data-center demand remains strong, the company converts its elevated backlog with continued project discipline, recently added production capacity contributes meaningfully in fiscal 2027, and DBM Global closes on schedule and integrates successfully. This outcome would sustain broad growth across Communications, Infrastructure Solutions, and Commercial & Industrial while reducing dependence on residential construction. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |