Hubbell Inc Dossier
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SectorIndustrials IndustryElectrical Equipment & Parts Beta (adjusted)0.93 Intrinsic Value $432.17median of 6 methods · middle span $340-$693based on filings through 31 Mar 2026 Market Price $466.98Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Near fair valueIntrinsic value is 7% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $24.7B Enterprise Value $26.7B Shares Outstanding 53M diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date27 Oct 2026 Last ex-dividend31 Aug 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Hubbell entered the second half of 2026 with strong operating momentum: second-quarter net sales rose 15.3%, organic sales rose 10.2%, and adjusted diluted EPS increased 12% to $5.52, prompting management to raise its full-year adjusted-EPS outlook to $20.25-$20.55. Grid modernization, load growth and data-center investment provide attractive structural demand support. The offset is materially higher acquisition-related leverage after the approximately $3.0 billion NSI Industries transaction, together with tariff, inflation and integration risks and year-over-year pressure on consolidated and Electrical Solutions adjusted margins. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$502.00 Mean target$566.30 High · most bullish analyst$630.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $502.0023% Organic growth falls below 9% or adjusted EPS misses $20.25 as tariffs, raw-material inflation, softer industrial or residential demand, and NSI integration costs outweigh price and productivity. Elevated post-acquisition leverage reduces financial flexibility and magnifies execution risk. Base CaseCentral scenario $566.3058% Matches the consensus meanHubbell delivers within its 9%-11% organic-sales and $20.25-$20.55 adjusted-EPS outlooks, with resilient utility demand, strong Electrical Solutions growth and manageable NSI integration. Bull CaseUpside scenario $630.0019% Organic growth exceeds the 11% upper end of guidance, adjusted EPS surpasses $20.55, and NSI integration strengthens Electrical Solutions without further leverage deterioration. Grid and data-center demand remains strong while price and productivity offset tariffs and raw-material inflation. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |