Hello Group Inc ADR Dossier
Valuation
How Intrinsic Value compares with model outputs
Intrinsic Value Insufficient data for a value estimatebased on filings through 31 Dec 2025
Market Price $4.82Price as of 1 Oct 2026
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Valuation methods vs. Market Price
$0$1$2$3$4$5
DCF
DCF: no value available.
n/aDNI
DNI: no value available.
n/aP/S
P/S: no value available.
n/aP/E
P/E from peer group, own multiple too volatile to anchor (5-yr std 1.8)
n/aP/B
P/B: no value available.
n/aPEG
PEG: no value available.
n/a$0$1$2$3$4$5
Market Price ($4.82) Intrinsic Value
Company vs. peer median Members
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Assumptions
| Parameter | Value |
|---|---|
| Years 1–5: analyst growth pathFive-year total matches analyst consensus exactly. Year 1: -15.0% (near-term consensus, capped) · years 2–5: 16.2%/yr (balance of the path). | 9.2% per year |
Years 6–10: glide to demonstrated growthPer-year ratesYr 613.6%Yr 710.9%Yr 88.3%Yr 95.6%Yr 103.0% | 16.2% → 3.0% |
Years 11–20: glide to long-run ratePer-year ratesYr 113.0%Yr 123.0%Yr 133.0%Yr 143.0%Yr 153.0%Yr 163.0%Yr 173.0%Yr 183.0%Yr 193.0%Yr 203.0% | 3.0% → 3.0% |
| Beyond year 20: terminal growthPerpetual long-run rate | 3.0% |
| Historical EPS growth (multi-year median)median of 3 windows (5/6/7y) | -14.4% |
| Discount rate (cost of equity) | 7.8% |
| Volatility vs market (adjusted beta) | 0.63 |
Valuation Detail Members
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Best value in each row is highlighted. Figures are periodic snapshots from the same filings used across each dossier; a dash means the figure is not available.