Hallador Energy Co Dossier
Valuation
How Intrinsic Value compares with model outputs
Intrinsic Value $10.38median of 2 methodsbased on filings through 30 Jun 2026
Market Price $13.52Price as of 1 Oct 2026
Margin of Safety -23.3%as of 1 Oct 2026
Data confidenceNot applicable
Valuation methods vs. Market Price
$0$4$8$12$16$20
DCF
Insufficient data for this method
abstainedDNI
Loss-making, earnings methods not applicable
abstainedP/S
$11.37◇ $36.19
P/E
Negative earnings base
abstainedP/B
$9.39◇ $7.60
PEG
Insufficient data for this method
abstained$0$4$8$12$16$20
Market Price ($13.52) Intrinsic Value ($10.38) peer-implied value
Company vs. peer median Members
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Assumptions
| Parameter | Value |
|---|---|
| Years 1–5: analyst growth pathFive-year total matches analyst consensus exactly. Year 1: -13.5% (near-term consensus, capped) · years 2–5: 15.9%/yr (balance of the path). | 9.3% per year |
Years 6–10: glide to demonstrated growthPer-year ratesYr 614.6%Yr 713.3%Yr 812.0%Yr 910.7%Yr 109.3% | 15.9% → 9.3% |
Years 11–20: glide to long-run ratePer-year ratesYr 118.7%Yr 128.1%Yr 137.4%Yr 146.8%Yr 156.2%Yr 165.5%Yr 174.9%Yr 184.3%Yr 193.6%Yr 203.0% | 9.3% → 3.0% |
| Beyond year 20: terminal growthPerpetual long-run rate | 3.0% |
| Discount rate (cost of equity) | 7.4% |
| Volatility vs market (adjusted beta) | 0.54 |
Valuation Detail Members
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Assumptions Sandbox Members
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Best value in each row is highlighted. Figures are periodic snapshots from the same filings used across each dossier; a dash means the figure is not available.