General Dynamics Corp Dossier
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SectorIndustrials IndustryAerospace & Defense Beta (adjusted)0.55 Intrinsic Value $311.20median of 6 methods · middle span $248-$572based on filings through 5 Apr 2026 Market Price $332.72Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Near fair valueIntrinsic value is 6% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $90B Enterprise Value $94.4B Shares Outstanding 274.8M diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date23 Oct 2026 Next ex-dividend9 Oct 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary General Dynamics entered the second half of 2026 with strong operating momentum: second-quarter revenue increased 8.1%, diluted EPS increased 13.4%, operating margin expanded to 10.4%, and backlog reached $136.5 billion. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$319.00 Mean target$420.02 High · most bullish analyst$465.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $319.0020% The downside case assumes book-to-bill falls below 1.0 and backlog declines below the year-end 2025 level as program execution, delivery pacing or order timing fails to sustain the second-quarter trajectory. Base CaseCentral scenario $420.0255% Matches the consensus meanThe modal case assumes continued revenue and earnings growth supported by the large backlog, with company-wide operating margin near the second-quarter level and order intake broadly replenishing revenue. Bull CaseUpside scenario $465.0025% The upside case assumes that the $136.5 billion backlog converts efficiently, book-to-bill remains above 1.0, and Aerospace and Marine Systems continue the double-digit revenue growth and margin improvement reported in the second quarter. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |