FTI Consulting Inc Dossier
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SectorIndustrials IndustryConsulting Services Beta (adjusted)0.30 Intrinsic Value $196.40median of 6 methods · middle span $167-$622based on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $141.72Price as of 1 Oct 2026 UndervaluedIntrinsic value is 39% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $3.9B Enterprise Value $4.8B Shares Outstanding 28M diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date29 Oct 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary FTI Consulting (NYSE: FCN) continues to demonstrate robust top-line growth, driven by strong demand in its Corporate Finance & Restructuring and Strategic Communications segments. However, near-term profitability is facing headwinds from rising compensation costs, SG&A expenses, and a higher-than-expected tax rate, leading to compressed EBITDA margins. While the company's long-term fundamentals remain solid and supported by a newly authorized $370 million share buyback program alongside insider buying from the CEO and CFO, structural growth in underperforming segments like Economic Consulting remains elusive. Consequently, the stock is currently priced for stability and reliability rather than near-term multiple expansion, justifying a Hold rating. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$171.00 Mean target$175.50 High · most bullish analyst$180.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 18 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario Persistent wage inflation and aggressive talent recruitment costs continue to compress EBITDA margins. A prolonged slowdown in antitrust and non-M&A economic advisory services leads to deeper losses in the Economic Consulting segment, causing the company to miss its full-year 2026 EPS guidance. Base CaseCentral scenario The company successfully delivers on its reaffirmed full-year 2026 guidance, with revenues ranging between $3.94 billion and $4.10 billion and EPS between $8.90 and $9.60. Corporate Finance & Restructuring continues to offset weakness in Economic Consulting, while share repurchases support per-share metrics. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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Thesis Invalidation Triggers
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |