Freightos Ltd Dossier
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SectorIndustrials IndustryAir Freight & Logistics Beta (adjusted)1.11 Intrinsic Value No headline value published yetWe haven't published a headline intrinsic value for this company yet. Our data-reliability standards weren't met. Method estimates are shown for reference. Market Price $0.90Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $46.9M Enterprise Value $36.3M Shares Outstanding 50.6M diluted Next Earnings Date23 Nov 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Freightos Ltd (NASDAQ: CRGO) is a leading digital booking and payment platform for the global freight industry. While the company possesses a strong long-term opportunity to digitize a massive, offline market, it is currently navigating a transition year in 2026. Top-line growth has moderated significantly due to softness in its Solutions/SaaS segment and geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East suppressing transaction volumes. Although management remains committed to reaching adjusted EBITDA breakeven by the end of 2026 through a 15% workforce reduction and cost optimization plan, near-term execution risks and lowered revenue guidance warrant a cautious Hold stance. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$2.60 Mean target$2.80 High · most bullish analyst$3.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 20 Jun 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $1.1720% SaaS and Solutions revenue growth continues to disappoint, and prolonged Middle East conflict severely depresses platform transaction volumes. EBITDA losses widen sequentially, forcing the company to burn through its remaining cash reserves ($23.5M as of Q1 2026) and execute a highly dilutive capital raise. Base CaseCentral scenario $2.6555% Freightos achieves its updated FY2026 revenue guidance of $30.2M to $31.4M and successfully reaches adjusted EBITDA breakeven by the end of 2026. Transaction volumes grow at a moderate pace, offset by ongoing geopolitical headwinds in the Middle East, while SaaS and Solutions revenues stabilize. Bull CaseUpside scenario $3.0025% Rapid recovery in global trade volumes, successful conversion of the enterprise shipper pipeline, and accelerated adoption of digital booking workflows. The cost optimization plan delivers higher-than-expected annualized savings, allowing the company to comfortably exceed its adjusted EBITDA breakeven target by late 2026 without requiring additional capital raises. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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Thesis Invalidation Triggers
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |