Eva Live Inc Dossier
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SectorCommunication Services IndustryAdvertising Beta (adjusted)1.48 Intrinsic Value Insufficient data for a value estimateNot enough reliable inputs to publish a fair value for this company yet. Market Price $1.80Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Data confidenceNot applicable Market Cap $72M Enterprise Value $67.7M Shares Outstanding 36.3M diluted Next Earnings Date16 Nov 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Eva Live Inc. (NASDAQ: GOAI) presents an exceptionally high-risk profile characterized by severe financial deterioration, going concern warnings, and aggressive accounting practices. Although the company reported strong top-line growth in FY 2025, its Q1 2026 results revealed a massive net loss of $8.56 million on declining revenues of $3.9 million. Crucially, the company's balance sheet is highly suspect, with accounts receivable ($18.44 million) exceeding annual revenues, of which 79% is aged over 90 days. This raises severe collectability and revenue-recognition quality concerns. Furthermore, imminent dilution risks from a $100 million ATM program and a $250 million shelf registration, combined with related-party transactions and going concern notes, make the stock highly speculative with significant downside potential. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 19 Jun 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $1.5035% The bear case materializes if the company is forced to write down a substantial portion of its aged accounts receivable, severely impacting its equity and assets. The company fails to scale its AI services against intense competition, and media traffic costs remain unsustainably high. Continued reliance on highly dilutive financing programs leads to a rapid increase in shares outstanding, driving the stock price toward its book value floor. Base CaseCentral scenario $3.1750% The base case assumes low double-digit growth with slow margin recovery. Media traffic costs remain elevated, and the company continues to rely on dilutive financing, drawing down on its convertible promissory notes and ATM program. No major write-offs of accounts receivable occur, but cash collection remains slow. Dilution increases the share count significantly, depressing book value per share. Bull CaseUpside scenario $3.8615% In a highly optimistic scenario, media traffic costs normalize to the 41%-45% range, and the company successfully converts its massive accounts receivable balance into cash. Capital is raised in a highly disciplined manner rather than through aggressive dilutive equity issuance. The company's newly launched AI platforms (Eva Brain, NeuroServer, and FastQuoteDirect) scale rapidly across home services, financial services, and defense markets (via Eva Defense Inc.), driving high-margin recurring software revenue. Scenarios reflect our research view at the research date. Key Investment Merits
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All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |