Equitable Holdings Inc Dossier
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SectorFinancials IndustryAsset Management Beta (adjusted)1.06 Intrinsic Value Insufficient data for a value estimateNot enough reliable inputs to publish a fair value for this company yet. Market Price $51.95Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Data confidenceNot applicable Market Cap $14.2B Enterprise Value $826.2M Shares Outstanding 274.2M diluted Next Earnings Date2 Nov 2026 Last ex-dividend3 Aug 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Equitable entered the second half of 2026 with strong operating momentum: second-quarter non-GAAP operating EPS increased 24% year over year excluding notable items, all three operating businesses generated positive net flows, and AUM/A reached $1.175 trillion. Capital generation and return remain disciplined, with management maintaining its $1.8 billion 2026 cash-generation objective and a 60%-70% payout target. The principal catalyst and principal risk are now the same event: the pending all-stock merger with Corebridge. Shareholders have approved the transaction, but regulatory approvals and closing conditions remain outstanding. If completed and integrated successfully, the combination is expected to add scale, diversify earnings and produce more than $500 million of run-rate expense synergies and over 10% EPS and cash-generation accretion by year-end 2028. A Hold stance is appropriate because the operating evidence is constructive but transaction execution remains material. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$52.00 Mean target$61.55 High · most bullish analyst$68.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $52.0019% Regulatory approval or closing is delayed, integration costs exceed expectations, or the merger fails to deliver the announced synergies. Adverse equity and interest-rate movements could also reduce fee-bearing assets and amplify reported GAAP volatility, while weaker subsidiary cash generation could constrain capital returns. Base CaseCentral scenario $61.5558% Matches the consensus meanThe merger closes by year-end 2026, but synergy realization and integration proceed gradually. Equitable sustains positive Retirement and Wealth Management flows, Asset Management flows remain variable, and capital generation supports the stated payout range. Bull CaseUpside scenario $68.0023% The merger closes on schedule, positive organic flows persist, markets remain supportive of fee-bearing assets, and integration realizes at least the announced expense-synergy and accretion objectives. The resulting company gains broader retirement distribution, a more balanced fee, spread and underwriting earnings mix, and substantial additional assets for AllianceBernstein to manage. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |