EpicQuest Education Group International Limited Dossier
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SectorConsumer Discretionary IndustryEducation Services Beta (adjusted)-0.09 Intrinsic Value Insufficient data for a value estimateNot enough reliable inputs to publish a fair value for this company yet. Market Price $4.60Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Data confidenceNot applicable Market Cap $7.6M Enterprise Value $3.2M Shares Outstanding 1.6M diluted Next Earnings Date28 Jan 2027 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary EpicQuest Education Group International Ltd (EEIQ) is transitioning from a study-abroad service provider to an international operator of higher education institutions, notably through its 70% stake in Davis University and 100% ownership of EduGlobal College. While the company achieved a major milestone with Davis University reaching its first year of profitability in FY2025 and international student enrollment surging by 85% YoY in Q1 2025-2026, it remains a sub-micro-cap stock with persistent overall net losses ($2.53 million in FY2025). The successful expansion of foundational programs in China (e.g., Peking University and Shanghai Jiao Tong University) provides a stable pipeline, but high regulatory risks associated with Chinese student recruitment and cash repatriation warrant a cautious Hold recommendation. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 20 Jun 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $1.5015% Geopolitical tensions or tighter visa regulations in the US and Canada severely restrict the flow of Chinese students, causing enrollment to plummet. Regulatory crackdowns on cash transfers out of China prevent the holding company from servicing its obligations, leading to severe liquidity constraints and dilution from dilutive warrant exercises. Base CaseCentral scenario $3.5060% The company continues to grow its top-line at a moderate high-single-digit rate (9-12% YoY) driven by international student recruitment. Davis University remains profitable, but overall corporate overhead and expansion costs in Canada and Ohio keep the consolidated entity near break-even or slightly unprofitable over the next 12-18 months. Bull CaseUpside scenario $5.5025% Rapid scaling of foundational programs and international partnerships leads to sustained profitability across all operating segments. Continued triple-digit growth in international student enrollment at Davis University and EduGlobal College drives operating leverage, while the newly established sports-related programs under Gilmore INV LLC generate high-margin secondary revenue streams. Scenarios reflect our research view at the research date. Key Investment Merits
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All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |