Enpro Inc Dossier
|
SectorIndustrials IndustrySpecialty Industrial Machinery Beta (adjusted)1.37 Intrinsic Value $123.33median of 6 methods · middle span $55-$146based on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $315.91Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Significantly overvaluedIntrinsic value is 61% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% marker beyond scale (-61%) Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $6.7B Enterprise Value $7.2B Shares Outstanding 21.4M diluted Moat Rating None Next Earnings Date3 Nov 2026 Last ex-dividend2 Sep 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Enpro Inc. has successfully transformed from a legacy diversified industrial manufacturer into a high-margin, technology-focused industrial leader. By divesting lower-margin, carbon-intensive businesses and acquiring high-barrier assets like NxEdge, LeanTeq, Alluxa, Overlook, and AlpHa, Enpro has positioned itself at the center of critical semiconductor, life sciences, and aerospace supply chains. The company's proprietary materials science expertise and high switching costs create a robust competitive moat, while its Enpro Operating System (EOS) drives continuous margin expansion and strong free cash flow conversion. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$373.00 Mean target$389.50 High · most bullish analyst$430.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 18 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $373.00 A prolonged cyclical downturn in the semiconductor industry severely impacts AST bookings, while persistent weakness in commercial vehicle markets drags down Sealing Technologies. Integration challenges with recent acquisitions or sudden regulatory crackdowns on PFAS-related materials compress margins and restrict free cash flow generation. Base CaseCentral scenario $389.50 Matches the consensus meanEnpro continues to execute on its portfolio optimization strategy, achieving steady organic growth of 10% to 14% in FY 2026. Strong demand for precision cleaning and coating solutions in AST offsets temporary softness in commercial vehicle and international industrial markets. Operating leverage and pricing power sustain adjusted EBITDA margins in the 25% to 26% range, supported by robust free cash flow conversion. Bull CaseUpside scenario $430.00 Accelerating semiconductor capital equipment demand and rapid adoption of advanced node chips (5nm and below) drive explosive growth in the Advanced Surface Technologies (AST) segment. Successful integration of recent acquisitions (AlpHa and Overlook) accelerates penetration into the high-margin biopharma and life sciences markets, pushing adjusted EBITDA margins past 27% ahead of schedule. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |