DXP Enterprises Inc Dossier
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SectorIndustrials IndustryIndustrial Distribution Beta (adjusted)1.00 Intrinsic Value $128.71median of 6 methods · middle span $60-$374based on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $182.31Price as of 1 Oct 2026 OvervaluedIntrinsic value is 29% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $2.8B Enterprise Value $3.4B Shares Outstanding 16.3M diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date5 Nov 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary DXP Enterprises (DXPE) is successfully executing a long-term strategic transition from a cyclical industrial distributor to a highly technical, value-added engineering solutions provider. This shift is primarily driven by the expansion of its Innovative Pumping Solutions (IPS) segment and targeted acquisitions in water and wastewater treatment markets. Despite near-term macroeconomic headwinds and energy sector volatility, DXP's diversified business model, robust backlog visibility, and strong free cash flow generation support a compelling re-rating opportunity. The stock currently trades at a discount to its historical averages and sector medians, presenting an attractive entry point for long-term investors. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$180.00 Mean target$200.00 High · most bullish analyst$220.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 18 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $180.00 A severe macroeconomic downturn or a sharp collapse in energy sector capital expenditures leads to a contraction in industrial MRO spending. Integration delays or ERP setbacks from recent acquisitions compress operating margins, and net debt leverage rises above comfortable levels. Base CaseCentral scenario $200.00 Matches the consensus meanDXP maintains steady organic growth of 6% to 8% in its core Service Centers and Supply Chain segments, while the IPS segment continues to compound at double-digit rates. Operating margins stabilize around 8.5% to 9.0%, and the company continues to execute tactical bolt-on acquisitions using its strong cash position. Bull CaseUpside scenario $220.00 Accelerated backlog conversion in the high-margin IPS segment, combined with rapid integration of recent acquisitions (such as Ambiente H2O and General Repair Service), drives operating margins above 10%. Strong municipal water demand and sustained high industrial activity lead to significant earnings outperformance. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
Thesis Invalidation Triggers
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |