Duke Energy Corp Dossier
|
SectorUtilities IndustryElectric Utilities Beta (adjusted)0.59 Intrinsic Value $114.56median of 6 methods · middle span $94-$137based on filings through 31 Mar 2026 Market Price $113.74Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Near fair valueIntrinsic value is 1% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $88.7B Enterprise Value $174.4B Shares Outstanding 779M diluted Moat Rating None Next Earnings Date5 Nov 2026 Last ex-dividend14 Aug 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Duke Energy's operating outlook is constructive but balanced. Second-quarter adjusted EPS increased to $1.43 from $1.25, and management reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $6.55-$6.80 and a 5%-7% long-term adjusted EPS growth objective through 2030. Infrastructure recovery, customer growth, data-center demand and planned customer-cost savings support earnings visibility. Counterweights include higher depreciation and interest expense, regulatory-settlement charges and execution risk across a large generation, storage and grid-investment program. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$129.00 Mean target$137.94 High · most bullish analyst$147.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $129.0024% Higher depreciation, interest expense and regulatory costs outweigh infrastructure-recovery benefits, causing adjusted EPS to fall below guidance. Delays or cost pressure affecting the utility combination, generation additions, storage procurement or grid work reduce expected benefits, while large-load demand fails to produce sufficient revenues above service costs. Base CaseCentral scenario $137.9456% Matches the consensus meanDuke Energy delivers within its reaffirmed $6.55-$6.80 adjusted EPS guidance for 2026 and progresses within its 5%-7% long-term adjusted EPS growth objective. Infrastructure recovery and load growth offset higher depreciation and financing costs, while the Carolinas utility combination advances near its targeted effective date. Bull CaseUpside scenario $147.0020% Infrastructure investment recovery remains strong, large-load contracts produce revenues above service costs without shifting costs to existing customers, and the utility combination and tax-credit monetization deliver the announced customer benefits. Successful execution of new generation, storage and grid projects supports earnings toward the upper portion of management's long-term range. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |