Draganfly Inc Dossier
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SectorIndustrials IndustryAerospace & Defense Beta (adjusted)2.85 Intrinsic Value Insufficient data for a value estimateNot enough reliable inputs to publish a fair value for this company yet. Market Price $5.50Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Data confidenceNot applicable Market Cap $215.1M Enterprise Value $209.8M Shares Outstanding 37.1M diluted Next Earnings Date12 Nov 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Draganfly Inc. is strategically positioned as a leading North American developer of secure, NDAA-compliant drone solutions. The company is capitalizing on a once-in-a-generation structural realignment as U.S. and NATO regulations increasingly restrict Chinese-made drone technology. With a significantly bolstered cash position of over $147 million as of Q1 2026 and the recent acquisition of Skip Dynamix's ultra-low-cost, mass-producible fixed-wing technology, Draganfly is well-equipped to scale its defense and public safety offerings. While persistent net losses and margin pressures remain near-term challenges, the company's expanding pipeline of military and government contracts provides a strong foundation for long-term growth. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$8.03 Mean target$10.91 High · most bullish analyst$14.05 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 20 Jun 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $5.0020% Execution delays in integrating Skip Dynamix or slower-than-expected conversion of defense pipelines into recurring revenue prolong the company's cash burn. Continued high operating expenses and potential equity dilution to fund working capital pressure the stock price. Base CaseCentral scenario $11.5150% Draganfly steadily executes on its current defense contracts, including the U.S. Air Force Special Operations Command (AFSOC) and DEVCOM Army Research Laboratory awards. Revenue continues to grow at a double-digit rate, and gross margins gradually recover toward 20% as the product mix stabilizes and inventory write-downs subside. Bull CaseUpside scenario $14.0030% Rapid commercialization of the newly acquired Skip Dynamix Orca platform leads to large-scale, high-margin defense contracts in the U.S. and Indo-Pacific regions. Regulatory bans on foreign-made drones accelerate domestic adoption, driving revenue growth well above consensus estimates and achieving operating profitability ahead of schedule. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |