Daktronics Inc Dossier
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SectorInformation Technology IndustryElectronic Equipment & Instruments Beta (adjusted)1.46 Intrinsic Value $10.69median of 6 methods · middle span $10-$13based on filings through 1 Aug 2026 Market Price $17.61Price as of 1 Oct 2026 OvervaluedIntrinsic value is 39% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $846.9M Enterprise Value $702.8M Shares Outstanding 48.5M diluted Moat Rating Wide Last ex-dividend6 Mar 2020 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Daktronics is executing a robust multi-year growth and margin expansion plan under its new leadership team. With a record product backlog and strong order momentum in core segments like High School Parks & Recreation and Transportation, the company is well-positioned to accelerate profitable growth. The strategic focus on digital transformation, microLED technology expansion, and operational excellence supports a clear path toward its FY2028 financial targets. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$29.00 Mean target$31.67 High · most bullish analyst$34.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 19 Jun 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $19.0020% Persistent supply chain disruptions, elevated tariff expenses, and intense competition from low-cost foreign display manufacturers compress gross margins. Slower public spending impacts transportation and municipal projects, limiting revenue growth to low single digits. Base CaseCentral scenario $26.0050% Daktronics successfully delivers on its strategic plan, achieving a 7-10% annual revenue growth CAGR and expanding its operating margin toward 10% by FY2028. Steady demand in sports venues and commercial billboards provides a stable revenue runway, supported by its $342.3 million backlog. Bull CaseUpside scenario $31.0030% Stronger-than-expected adoption of high-resolution microLED displays and rapid expansion in the aviation and transportation sectors drive revenue growth above the 10% target. Operational efficiencies from automation and lean manufacturing expand operating margins toward the high end of the 10-12% target ahead of schedule. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |