Cheniere Energy Inc Dossier
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SectorEnergy IndustryOil & Gas Storage & Transportation Beta (adjusted)0.33 Intrinsic Value $167.65median of 5 methods · middle span $132-$200based on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $272.40Price as of 1 Oct 2026 OvervaluedIntrinsic value is 38% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $56.3B Enterprise Value $79.2B Shares Outstanding 206.8M diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date29 Oct 2026 Last ex-dividend10 Aug 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Cheniere combines a predominantly contracted LNG platform with visible brownfield growth and demonstrated project execution. The company raised 2026 EBITDA, distributable-cash-flow and production guidance after completing Corpus Christi Stage 3 Train 6, while Train 7 was nearing first LNG and Trains 8 & 9 remained scheduled for the second half of 2028. At the August 28 closing price of $282.33, however, successful execution and a meaningful portion of the near-term operating improvement appear reflected in the shares. Regulatory approvals for further expansions, construction execution and exposure to global LNG-price and derivative-accounting volatility create a balanced risk-reward profile. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$255.00 Mean target$306.73 High · most bullish analyst$340.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $220.0023% Production falls below the revised range, Train 7 or Trains 8 & 9 experience delays, or weaker optimization margins and commodity-price volatility reduce cash generation. Regulatory or financing delays affecting future expansions would further reduce the value attributed to growth. Base CaseCentral scenario $306.7358% Matches the consensus meanThe base case assumes completion of Corpus Christi Stage 3 in fall 2026, full-year results within the revised guidance ranges and continued progress on Trains 8 & 9. It also assumes no material deterioration in contracted cash-flow visibility. Bull CaseUpside scenario $340.0019% Train 7 reaches substantial completion on schedule, 2026 production and cash generation finish near the top of guidance, Trains 8 & 9 remain on time, and the Sabine Pass expansion advances without adverse financing or regulatory developments. Continued repurchases amplify per-share value creation. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |