CGI Inc Dossier
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SectorInformation Technology IndustryInformation Technology Services Beta (adjusted)0.45 Intrinsic Value $72.98median of 6 methods · middle span $68-$284based on filings through 30 Sep 2024 Market Price $70.98Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Near fair valueIntrinsic value is 3% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $14.7B Enterprise Value $17.5B Shares Outstanding 228.1M diluted Next Earnings Date11 Nov 2026 Last ex-dividend14 Aug 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary CGI combines a substantial contracted backlog, trailing bookings above revenue, strong cash generation and resilient adjusted margins. These attributes support continued profitable growth, while enterprise demand for secure AI, data modernization and cybersecurity provides a potential structural tailwind. The counterweight is modest 1.3% constant-currency revenue growth in the latest quarter and quarterly book-to-bill of only 100.1%. A Hold recommendation is appropriate because operating quality is evident. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$75.77 Mean target$81.55 High · most bullish analyst$90.92 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $75.7718% The bear case assumes bookings weaken below revenue, the current modest constant-currency growth turns negative and acquisition, restructuring or integration costs persist. Under that outcome, slower backlog conversion and operating pressure would undermine the profitable-growth thesis despite the current backlog. Base CaseCentral scenario $81.5558% Matches the consensus meanThe base case assumes continued profitable but moderate growth, supported by backlog equal to 1.9 times annual revenue, a 108.1% trailing book-to-bill ratio and disciplined execution. Constant-currency growth remains in the low-single-digit range while adjusted margins remain broadly resilient. Bull CaseUpside scenario $90.9224% The bull case assumes CGI converts its C$31.79 billion backlog and rising opportunity pipeline into faster organic growth while sustaining an adjusted EBIT margin near the latest 16.3% level. Broad client investment in secure enterprise AI, modern data platforms, cybersecurity and technology modernization could increase demand and produce stronger bookings and earnings growth. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |