Cava Group Inc Dossier
Outlook & Key Dates
Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events
Analyst Estimates Learn more →
5-Yr Fwd EPS Growth
24.1%projected annual EPS growth
Analyst Coverage
23analysts covering
FY Revenue (est.)
$1.5Bnext fiscal year
FY EPS (est.)
$0.55next fiscal year
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
Average Unit Volume (AUV) Quarterly3MTarget: Maintain or exceed $3.0 million while expanding into new geographies
Same-Restaurant Sales Growth Quarterly970.0%Target: 4.5% to 6.5% for Full Year 2026
Net New Restaurant Openings Quarterly20.0Target: 75 to 77 net new openings for Full Year 2026
Restaurant-Level Profit Margin Quarterly2,510.0%Target: Maintain mid-20s percentage range
Watch Items
- Cyclospora Outbreak ImpactTrigger: A material drop in guest traffic or same-restaurant sales growth falling below the 4.5% lower guidance bound in Q2/Q3 2026Action: Re-evaluate near-term traffic recovery, brand equity damage, and adjust full-year revenue and EPS projections accordingly.
- Input Cost Pressures (Salmon Launch & Energy Costs)Trigger: Restaurant-level profit margins compressing below 23% due to food, beverage, and packaging cost inflationAction: Assess management's pricing power, potential menu price adjustments, and the impact on value-focused consumer traffic.
- Insider and Institutional Selling PressureTrigger: Further multi-million share divestments by major pre-IPO sponsors or key executivesAction: Monitor technical support levels and evaluate potential overhang on the stock price during market corrections.
Research as of 28 Jul 2026