Canadian Natural Resources LtdCNQ
Price$47.79Intrinsic value$46.712% below price

Valuation

How Intrinsic Value compares with model outputs

Intrinsic Value $46.71median of 6 methods · middle span $24-$154based on filings through 31 Dec 2025
Market Price $47.79Price as of 1 Oct 2026
Margin of Safety -2.3%as of 1 Oct 2026

Valuation methods vs. Market Price

Company vs. peer median Members

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Assumptions

ParameterValue
Years 1–5: analyst growth pathFive-year total matches analyst consensus exactly. Year 1: 11.0% (near-term consensus, capped) · years 2–5: 11.8%/yr (balance of the path).11.6% per year
Years 6–10: glide to demonstrated growth
Per-year rates
Yr 611.7%Yr 711.7%Yr 811.7%Yr 911.6%Yr 1011.6%
11.8% → 11.6%
Years 11–20: glide to long-run rate
Per-year rates
Yr 1110.7%Yr 129.9%Yr 139.0%Yr 148.2%Yr 157.3%Yr 166.4%Yr 175.6%Yr 184.7%Yr 193.9%Yr 203.0%
11.6% → 3.0%
Beyond year 20: terminal growthPerpetual long-run rate3.0%
Discount rate (cost of equity) 9.1%
Volatility vs market (adjusted beta)0.92

Valuation Detail Members

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Assumptions Sandbox Members

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Compare with peers

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Best in rowHigher is betterLower is better—Data not available
TargetCanadian Natural Resources LtdCNQEnergy
Valuation
P/E—
P/S2.7×
P/B2.4×
EV / Revenue2.7×
EV / EBITDA—
Profitability
Gross margin—
Operating margin—
Net margin27.9%
FCF margin28.2%
Returns
ROE24.4%
ROA11.8%
ROIC—
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY)14.2%
5-yr fwd EPS growth11.6%
Financial strength
Debt / Equity—
Current ratio0.95×
Altman Z-Score—
Interest coverage—
Dividend yield1.9%

Best value in each row is highlighted. Figures are periodic snapshots from the same filings used across each dossier; a dash means the figure is not available.

AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.