Broadwind Inc Dossier
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SectorIndustrials IndustryElectrical Equipment Beta (adjusted)1.53 Intrinsic Value $2.50median of 3 methodsbased on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $4.19Price as of 1 Oct 2026 OvervaluedIntrinsic value is 40% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $99.1M Enterprise Value $85.4M Shares Outstanding 24M diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date16 Nov 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Broadwind, Inc. is undergoing a major strategic transformation by exiting the low-margin, highly volatile wind tower market (marked by the sale of its Abilene facility) to pivot into a pure-play precision manufacturer. This shift allows the company to focus on higher-margin, predictable segments such as Gearing and Industrial Solutions, which are experiencing robust demand from natural gas turbine and critical infrastructure markets. Despite transitional revenue headwinds, this restructuring is expected to drive significant margin expansion, reduce capital intensity, and improve long-term cash flow predictability. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$5.00 Mean target$6.00 High · most bullish analyst$7.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 19 Jun 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario The transition away from the wind market causes larger-than-expected operational disruptions and revenue declines. Supply chain issues or persistent skilled labor inflation squeeze margins in the remaining fabrication operations, and the company struggles to replace lost wind revenue, leading to cash burn. Base CaseCentral scenario The company successfully completes its exit from the wind market by Q3 2026. Strong order momentum in Gearing and Industrial Solutions offsets the wind segment's revenue loss, leading to sequential margin improvements and a healthier balance sheet. The ratio of net debt to adjusted EBITDA remains comfortably below the 2.0x target. Bull CaseUpside scenario The bull case centers on Broadwind's strategic pivot away from the low-margin, volatile wind tower market (via the Abilene and Manitowoc divestitures) to become a pure-play precision manufacturer. This transition shifts the business mix toward higher-margin, more predictable power generation, critical infrastructure, and natural gas turbine markets, supported by strong order momentum and record backlogs in Gearing and Industrial Solutions. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |