Thesis

Street consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers

AI-assisted
Thesis Summary

Boston Scientific delivered 7.0% organic sales growth and adjusted EPS of $0.86 in the second quarter, with adjusted EPS exceeding its $0.82-$0.84 guidance range. Its cardiovascular portfolio, clinical pipeline and recent product clearances support durable growth, but management's 3%-5% third-quarter and 5%-6% full-year organic growth outlook implies moderation from the second-quarter pace.

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This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today.
Street view · analyst 12-month targets29 analysts · as of 18 Aug 2026
Low · most bearish analyst$44.00
Mean target$62.69
High · most bullish analyst$94.00
Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026
Scenarios · 12-month scenario targetsAnchored at research date
Bear CaseDownside scenario
$44.0020%

Organic growth falls below the 5% guidance floor as procedure growth, product adoption or international demand weakens, while regulatory, tariff, supply-chain, litigation or acquisition-related pressures impair execution.

Base CaseCentral scenario
$62.6955%
Matches the consensus mean

Boston Scientific performs within its 2026 guidance, with organic sales growth of 5%-6% and adjusted EPS of $3.28-$3.32. Continued cardiovascular growth and pipeline progress offset a slower second-half growth cadence.

Bull CaseUpside scenario
$94.0025%

Organic growth finishes above management's 5%-6% full-year range as cardiovascular innovation, including FARAPULSE and investigational FARAFLEX and SEISMIQ programs, drives stronger adoption, while adjusted EPS exceeds the $3.28-$3.32 outlook.

Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale.

Key Investment Merits
  • Second-quarter organic sales grew 7.0%, and adjusted EPS of $0.86 exceeded management's $0.82-$0.84 guidance range.
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Key Investment Risks
  • Management's 3%-5% third-quarter and 5%-6% full-year organic growth guidance indicates potential deceleration from the second quarter's 7.0% organic growth.
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All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.