Artelo Biosciences Inc Dossier
|
SectorHealth Care IndustryBiotechnology Beta (adjusted)0.28 Intrinsic Value Insufficient data for a value estimateNot enough reliable inputs to publish a fair value for this company yet. Market Price $4.04Price as of 30 Sep 2026 Data confidenceNot applicable Market Cap $2.2M Enterprise Value −$1.3M Shares Outstanding 547.8K diluted All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Artelo Biosciences is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on modulating lipid-signaling pathways to treat cancer, pain, and neurological conditions. The company's pipeline is anchored by ART27.13, a peripherally selective synthetic cannabinoid for cancer-related anorexia and cachexia, and ART26.12, a novel FABP5 inhibitor for neuropathic pain. While early clinical data for both assets are promising—including positive Phase 1 safety data for ART26.12 and encouraging weight-gain signals in the Phase 2 CAReS trial for ART27.13—the company remains pre-revenue and highly dependent on capital markets or strategic partnerships to fund its clinical trials. A recent capital raise has temporarily extended the cash runway into late 2026, but ongoing dilution risks and the early-stage nature of the pipeline warrant a cautious Hold recommendation until clear clinical readouts or strategic partnerships materialize. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 20 Jun 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $1.07 Clinical delays in the ART26.12 MAD study or safety concerns in the CAReS trial halt development. Failure to secure a strategic partner forces the company to execute highly dilutive equity raises under unfavorable market conditions, severely depressing the share price as the cash runway nears its end. Base CaseCentral scenario $18.00 The company successfully initiates the Multiple Ascending Dose (MAD) study for ART26.12 in Q4 2026 and continues to advance the CAReS trial for ART27.13. Strategic discussions for ART27.13 lead to a regional licensing deal or co-development partnership, providing non-dilutive capital that extends the cash runway into 2027. The stock trades in line with early-stage biotech peers, reflecting steady pipeline execution. Bull CaseUpside scenario $54.00 The company successfully completes the Phase 1 MAD study for ART26.12 with positive safety and biomarker data, and secures a high-value global licensing deal for ART27.13 in cancer anorexia and GLP-1 muscle preservation. This non-dilutive funding extends the cash runway through 2028, driving significant valuation expansion. Scenarios reflect our research view at the research date. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
Thesis Invalidation Triggers
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |