Ametek Inc Dossier
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SectorIndustrials IndustryElectrical Components & Equipment Beta (adjusted)0.99 Intrinsic Value $204.71median of 6 methods · middle span $166-$221based on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $247.73Price as of 30 Sep 2026 OvervaluedIntrinsic value is 17% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $56.8B Enterprise Value $58.3B Shares Outstanding 229.6M diluted Moat Rating Narrow Next Earnings Date29 Oct 2026 Last ex-dividend15 Sep 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary AMETEK entered the second half of 2026 with strong operating momentum: second-quarter sales rose 15%, adjusted EPS rose 17%, adjusted operating margin reached 26.6%, and orders increased 28%. Management consequently raised full-year EPS guidance to $8.20-$8.30. The completed $5.0 billion Indicor Instrumentation acquisition adds differentiated, recurring-revenue-oriented businesses and is expected to contribute approximately $350 million of 2026 sales with modest adjusted-EPS accretion. These merits are balanced by substantial debt-funded acquisition exposure, integration risk. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$217.00 Mean target$277.50 High · most bullish analyst$316.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $217.0020% Demand moderates from the exceptional first-half orders pace, integration costs or execution issues constrain margins, and debt-funded Indicor integration causes adjusted EPS or sales contribution to fall below management's announced thresholds. Base CaseCentral scenario $277.5055% Matches the consensus meanAMETEK delivers approximately 10% full-year sales growth and adjusted EPS within the $8.20-$8.30 guidance range, while Indicor contributes approximately $350 million of 2026 sales and is modestly accretive. Bull CaseUpside scenario $316.0025% Orders and sales remain broadly strong, core margin expansion persists, and Indicor integrates faster than expected while delivering at least its announced 2026 contribution and accretion. Under this outcome, AMETEK exceeds the upper end of its raised FY2026 adjusted-EPS guidance. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |