America Movil SAB de CV ADR Dossier
|
SectorCommunication Services IndustryWireless Telecommunication Services Beta (adjusted)0.50 Intrinsic Value $17.37median of 6 methods · middle span $10-$31based on filings through 30 Sep 2025 Market Price $21.19Price as of 30 Sep 2026 OvervaluedIntrinsic value is 18% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $63.3B Enterprise Value $84.4B Shares Outstanding 3B diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date21 Oct 2026 Last ex-dividend14 Jul 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary América Móvil entered the second half of 2026 with operating momentum broadly consistent with its medium-term objectives. Second-quarter constant-currency service revenue increased 5.1%, constant-currency EBITDA increased 5.3%, and net debt stood at 1.31 times last-twelve-month EBITDA after leases. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$20.80 Mean target$29.44 High · most bullish analyst$35.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $20.8018% Constant-currency service-revenue growth falls below the 4.0% lower end of management's objective, operating leverage weakens, or net debt rises materially above the approximately 1.3-times objective as investment and acquisition demands increase. Base CaseCentral scenario $29.4458% Matches the consensus meanService-revenue and EBITDA growth remain within or near management's 2026-2028 objective ranges while leverage stays close to 1.3 times. Bull CaseUpside scenario $35.0024% Service-revenue growth remains above the 5.0% upper end of management's 2026-2028 objective, EBITDA growth exceeds the 6.0% upper end, and leverage remains near 1.3 times. Continued postpaid and broadband additions would reinforce this outcome. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |