Allot Ltd Dossier
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SectorInformation Technology IndustrySystems Software Beta (adjusted)1.34 Intrinsic Value $4.83median of 6 methods · middle span $3-$9based on filings through 31 Dec 2025 Market Price $8.44Price as of 30 Sep 2026 OvervaluedIntrinsic value is 43% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $416.1M Enterprise Value $399M Shares Outstanding 46.2M diluted Moat Rating None Next Earnings Date19 Nov 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Allot Ltd. is successfully executing a strategic turnaround, shifting its business model from lumpy, low-margin hardware and project-based CapEx deals toward high-margin, predictable Security-as-a-Service (SECaaS) recurring revenue. This transition is driving significant improvements in gross margins, operating profitability, and cash flow generation. Backed by a robust balance sheet with zero debt and $98 million in cash, Allot is well-positioned to capture the growing demand for network-native cybersecurity solutions among global telecom operators and enterprises. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$10.50 Mean target$13.10 High · most bullish analyst$17.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 19 Jun 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $10.5015% Slower-than-expected subscriber ramp-ups with major telecom partners, combined with high customer concentration risks, lead to flat or declining revenues. Increased competition from larger cybersecurity players pressures pricing, causing gross margins to contract toward 68% and delaying sustained GAAP profitability. Base CaseCentral scenario $13.5060% Allot achieves its FY2026 revenue guidance of $113 million to $117 million, supported by steady double-digit growth in SECaaS ARR and stable performance in its Deep Network Intelligence (DNI) segment. Operating margins continue to improve, and the company maintains positive cash flow generation, aligning with the consensus analyst outlook. Bull CaseUpside scenario $18.0025% Accelerated adoption of SECaaS offerings by Tier-1 telecom operators (such as Verizon and Vodafone) and rapid expansion into the MVNO market via partners like Compax Venture. This drives SECaaS revenue growth well above the guided 40%, leading to substantial operating leverage, gross margins exceeding 73%, and significant upward revisions in Wall Street price targets. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
Thesis Invalidation Triggers
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |