Allegro Microsystems Inc Dossier
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SectorInformation Technology IndustrySemiconductors Beta (adjusted)1.63 Intrinsic Value $30.03median of 6 methods · middle span $6-$34based on filings through 26 Jun 2026 Market Price $36.35Price as of 30 Sep 2026 OvervaluedIntrinsic value is 17% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $6.8B Enterprise Value $6.9B Shares Outstanding 188.2M diluted Moat Rating None Next Earnings Date29 Oct 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Allegro entered fiscal 2027 with accelerating sales, substantial year-over-year margin improvement, and record data-center exposure, while automotive and industrial demand both advanced. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$48.00 Mean target$54.83 High · most bullish analyst$62.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $48.0020% Semiconductor cyclicality, automotive-market weakness, customer or distributor inventory adjustments, supplier constraints, or unfavorable product mix push sales and gross margin below the low ends of management's fiscal second-quarter guidance. Base CaseCentral scenario $54.8355% Matches the consensus meanFiscal second-quarter sales land within the company's $265 million to $275 million range, with non-GAAP gross margin within the guided 50.75% to 51.75% range. Automotive growth remains positive and industrial/data-center demand supports continued year-over-year expansion. Bull CaseUpside scenario $62.0025% Sales remain above management's guidance trajectory as data-center power demand, electrified vehicles, ADAS, automation, and robotics produce sustained growth. Continued favorable mix and operating leverage keep non-GAAP gross margin near or above the fiscal first-quarter level and extend the recovery in earnings. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |